AB Merkez Bankazı Faizleri İndirecek mi?

European-Central-BankAvrupa Merkez Bankası’nın (AMB) bugün Frankfurt’ta gerçekleştireceği toplantıda, faiz oranlarında değişikliğe gidip gitmeyeceği ve devlet tahvili satın alımını da kapsayan bir nicel genişleme programı konusunda yeni bir adım atıp atmayacağı Euro bölgesinin tedirgin olduğu bu günlerde daha da çok konuşuluyor. Ayrıca, bölgede düşük enflasyonla uzun süredir mücadele eden AMB Başkanı Mario Draghi’nin deflasyon risklerine karşı alacağı olası yeni tedbirler de merakla izleniyor.

CNBC-e’nin haberine göre, analistler, bankanın faiz oranlarında yeni bir kesintiye gitmeyeceğine ancak, yarınki toplantıda devlet tahvili alımını kapsayan nicel genişleme programı açıklayabileceğine işaret etti. ING Group Euro Bölgesi Başekonomisti Peter Vanden Houte, bankadan yeni bir faiz hamlesi beklemediklerini ifade ederek, “Faiz oranlarında herhangi bir değişiklik olmayacaktır. AMB zaten faiz oranları döngüsünde en düşük noktaya ulaşıldığını çeşitli vesilelerle de vurguladı” dedi.

AMB’nin devlet tahvili alımı programını açıklamasının “yakın bir kesinlik” haline geldiğini dile getiren Houte, “Ancak, ayrıntılar üzerine hala bazı tartışmalar mevcut. Bankanın devlet tahvili alımında belirli bir miktar açıklamasını beklemiyoruz ama bilanço büyüklüğünü yüzde 50 artırarak 2012 seviyesine getirecek kadar satın alacağı konusunda teminat verebilir” dedi. Daha büyük bilançonun sonuç olarak daha fazla enflasyona sebep olacağına işaret eden Houte, ayrıca bunun avro kurunu da zayıflatacağını, bu durumun uygulamada bankanın 500-700 milyar Euro’luk devlet tahvili satın almak zorunda olduğu anlamına geldiğini sözlerine ekledi.

Berenberg Kıdemli Ekonomisti Dr. Christian Schulz ise eylül ayından bu yana düşen petrol fiyatları sebebiyle, Euro Bölgesi’nde enflasyonun eksiye döndüğünü söyledi. Bölgedeki uzun süreli düşük enflasyona karşın bir deflasyonist sarmal öngörmediklerini ifade eden Schulz, toplantıda AMB’nin devlet tahvili alım programını açıklamasını beklediklerini aktardı. Schulz, “AMB’nin yüzde 60 olasılıkla 2 yıl içerisinde 700 milyar avroluk devlet ve şirket tahvili satın alma programını duyuracağını düşünüyoruz. Eğer banka önemli ölçüde daha küçük bir program açıklarsa, başkan Draghi bu kararın nihai karar olmadığını ve eğer enflasyon beklentiler seviyesine gelmezse miktarın artabileceğini vurgulayabilir” diye konuştu.

IHS Global Insight Avrupa ve İngiltere Başekonomisti Howard Archer da AMB’nin toplantıda büyük ihtimalle parasal genişleme kararını açıklayacağını belirterek, AMB’nin en sonunda parasal genişlemeye hazır hale geldiğini dile getirdi. “Asıl soru, ‘AMB parasal genişlemeye gidecek mi?’ değil, ‘AMB nasıl bir parasal genişleme yoluna gidecek” diyen Archer, AMB’nin sınır tanımayan bir parasal genişleme politikası uygulamayacağını aktardı.

Parasal genişlemenin potansiyel etkisinin az olabileceğini, bu durumda AMB’nin politikası hakkında bir takım soru işaretleri olabileceğini dile getiren Archer, düşük enflasyon oranı, düşük büyüme ve özellikle küçük şirketler için sıkı kredi koşullarından dolayı parasal genişleme konusunda AMB’nin üzerinde uzun zamandan bu yana baskı olduğuna işaret etti. Euro Bölgesi’nde tahvil faizlerinin zaten düşük olduğunu, parasal genişlemenin ne kadar etki oluşturabileceği konusunda tereddütler bulunduğunu yineleyen Archer, Almanya’nın parasal genişlemeye karşı olduğunu, herhangi bir kayıpta Almanya’nın yardım etmeyeceğini savundu.

Parasal genişlemenin AMB için risk oluşturabileceğini de vurgulayan Archer, AMB’nin tahvil alımı konusunda çeşitli seçenekleri düşündüğünü, 500 milyar avroluk alımın söz konusu olduğunu dile getirdi. Capital Economics Kıdemli Piyasa Ekonomisti John Higgins ise tahvil alımının 500 milyar avrodan az olması durumunda Euro Bölgesi’ndeki devlet tahvillerinin fazla desteklenemeyeceğini aktardı. Parasal genişlemenin Euro Bölgesi’ndeki borsalara olumlu etkisinin sınırlı olabileceğini, etkinin avrodan gelecek tepkilere bağlı olacağını dile getiren Higgins, avronun dolar karşısında baskı altında kalmaya devam edeceğini söyledi.

Ekonomistler, Avrupa Merkez Bankası yarın yapacağı toplantıda yeni bir faiz indirimine gitmeyip, parasal genişleme programını duyuracağı görüşünde birleşti. AMB’nin 700 milyar euroluk devlet tahvili satın alacağına inanılıyor.

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Tourism is generally an essential income source, it is estimated that Puerto Rico was gone to by almost 5 million individuals in 2004. 2001-03 saw a decline in financial growth, mainly as a result of the US recession; in 2004-05 there was an economic growth, and also in 2006-07 it fell once again. Puerto Rico is just one of one of the most dynamically creating Caribbean countries. The diversified sector has actually outdone agriculture as well as is now the major source of income. Since the 1950s, American companies have been spending for the island, motivated by the duty-free exchange with the USA as well as tax obligation motivations. The island goes through United States base pay legislation. Sugar production lowered, and the dairy products market and animals manufacturing came to be the primary income. Tourist has actually been an important source of income for many years. It is estimated that in 1999 Puerto Rico was gone to by 5 million visitors. The prognosis for 2000 is excellent, offered that the economic boom in the US and the development trends in tourist and also construction proceed. Everyone desired an item of the New Globe, as well as everyone wanted to fight to get it. No place is this more obvious than the Castillo San Felipe del Morro. Formally referred to as La Ruta del LechĂłn, the Pork Freeway is exactly what it sounds like: a three-mile stretch of roadway where every dining establishment focuses on pork. One of the most preferred type of pork is lechĂłn, an unique recipe in Puerto Rico that involves spit-roasting an entire pig with a blend of sauces and spices. Obtain your blood pumping with a journey to the Toro Verde Theme park in main Puerto Rico. It supplies ziplines, rope programs and also rock climbing challenges that are ensured to make you pee your pants a little when you realize just what you have actually obtained right into! The park’s main attraction is “The Monster,” which is detailed in the Guinness Book of World Records as the longest zipline on the planet. With patched roads, hectic plazas and vibrant homes that pile together like building blocks of yellow, blue, environment-friendly, orange and also turquoise, Old San Juan is one of the most dynamic places to see in Puerto Rico. This is why locations like Isla Culebrita exist. Isla Culebrita is an uninhabited island off the coast of eastern Puerto Rico. It’s only regarding a mile long, and also gain access to is limited to ferryboats and also water taxis. Museo de Las Americas There are lots of galleries in Puerto Rico, however only a handful are actually regarding Puerto Rico. The Museo de Las Americas is just one of these precious areas. It has artefacts, tokens and also fabrics from loads of aboriginal teams that resided in Latin America before it was colonized, and it can take you on a multi-continental journey via history. If you like to eat, Mayaguez is the city for you. It’s home to whatever from fine dining establishments to outdoor coffee shops with huge, colorful umbrellas, so you’ll have lots of choices when your tummy starts growling. El Yunque National Forestis Treatment greater than 28,000 acres, the El Yunque National Park is a rich, humid rainforest where thick foliage covers everything from slithering serpents to croaking tree frogs. It’s the only tropical rainforest in Puerto Rico, and also site visitors come from all over the Carribean to witness both its elegance and also biodiversity. Located in the city of Cabo Rojo on the most southern suggestion of Puerto Rico, the Los Morrillos Lighthouse is among those gorgeous areas that you can only find in the Caribbean. It’s set down in addition to white limestone high cliffs that are bordered by salt marshes as well as lagoons, as well as the waves accident versus the cliffs with a physical violence that’s shocking however stunning. Cayo Santiago is a tiny stretch of land off the eastern coastline of Puerto Rico.

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      We made the decision that it would certainly be Puerto Rico in about five mins, and also after one more ten we already had our flight tickets scheduled:-RRB-)))) Our journey lasted 7 days and certainly, as usual, it was a journey on our own. We prepared our itinerary ourselves as well as chose the places that appeared one of the most interesting to us. In today’s message, I will focus on practical information concerning Puerto Rico. Puerto Rico is a reliant area of the USA uncorporated organized region on the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea. Because of this, tourists from the United States do not need a passport to arrive, a United States driving certificate is rather enough here. The trip is taken into consideration residential – so when it comes to Atlanta, where the big airport terminal is divided into domestic as well as global flights, we flew usually from the residential one. The currency of Puerto Rico is, of course, United States dollars, which was an excellent aid for us. In addition, United States mobile networks operate generally below. And at the same rates for telephone calls, messages and network – a blessing, especially when it concerns the Net! Especially since the wifi in many locations in Puerto Rico was so poor. The main languages are Spanish and also English – but the huge bulk of locals talk instead the previous. Puerto Rico lies in the damp equatorial environment zone, and the typical yearly temperature level is around 25 levels Celsius. The visitor period runs from December 15 to April 15, and also exotic heavy rainfalls frequently happen in the high period. And also it became true – during our week-long stay it really did not rainfall only one day. Thankfully, the rainfall, although it was pouring down, came very swiftly as well as after 15-20 minutes the storm mored than and the sunlight was shining again. A fascinating fact is that, according to a study carried out when, Puerto Ricans are the happiest nation worldwide. If this is true, it would certainly mean that the popular declaration that cash does not bring happiness has a grain of truth in it. It is estimated that virtually half of the citizens of Public Relations fight with hardship, which can be seen while circumnavigating the island. Since Puerto Rico is an island, it is certainly an aircraft Or a ship, if you intend to hook up on Public Relations throughout a cruise ship in the Caribbean. The major flight terminal in San Juan the capital is well gotten in touch with significant United States cities. From what I remember, our trip from Atlanta lasted 3 hrs It is best to rent out an auto in Puerto Rico and circumnavigate the island by doing this. We had the chance to utilize the general public Puerto Rico transport only when, in the form of a ferryboat, as well as if all the rest works according to comparable regulations, I highly advise this vehicle than stressful Tip – it’s truly worth leasing a cars and truck with a higher suspension. We did not know regarding it and we decided to get some tiny gingerbread because of the most effective rate. We quickly regretted this choice, because some edges of Puerto Rico are best discovered with a 4×4 SUV. Caribbean, an island in between the Caribbean Sea and the North Atlantic Sea, east of the Dominican Republic, strategically situated on the Mona Strait – an essential path to the Panama Canal; San Juan is one of the largest and best natural harbors in the Caribbean; a multitude of tiny rivers and also high mountains in the facility of the country make certain excellent watering of the country; the south coastline is reasonably completely dry; in the north, a productive strip of coastal plains. No one flies to Puerto Rico to see its cool federal government structures. You want enjoyable in the sunlight. The good news is that Flamenco Coastline will certainly measure up to your daydreams and then some. Not only does it supply white sand and also blue water that shimmies imminent, but it additionally boasts washrooms, lifeguards, food kiosks, volleyball webs and also vacationer stations where you can lease devices for things like snorkeling as well as scuba diving. Puerto Rico’s economic climate is among one of the most dynamically developing in the Caribbean. The varied sector has actually plainly outpaced farming as the primary driving force of the economy as well as a source of income. Since the 1950s, American firms have actually been spending heavily on the island, encouraged by duty-free access to the US market and tax obligation breaks. The island has US base pay regulations. Sugar manufacturing shed its leading position in farming to dairy as well as animals manufacturing. Tourist is commonly a vital source of income, it is approximated that Puerto Rico was visited by almost 5 million people in 2004. 2001-03 saw a decline in financial growth, mostly due to the United States economic crisis; in 2004-05 there was a financial development, as well as in 2006-07 it fell again. Puerto Rico is among the most dynamically developing Caribbean nations. The diversified market has outshined agriculture and is currently the main income source. Because the 1950s, American business have actually been investing on the island, urged by the duty-free exchange with the USA and also tax motivations. The island is subject to United States base pay law. Sugar manufacturing decreased, as well as the dairy sector and also livestock production came to be the primary income source. Tourism has actually been an essential income for many years. It is approximated that in 1999 Puerto Rico was gone to by 5 million travelers. The diagnosis for 2000 is great, supplied that the financial boom in the US and the growth trends in tourism as well as building continue. Everybody desired a piece of the New Globe, and everyone agreed to fight to get it. Nowhere is this more obvious than the Castillo San Felipe del Morro. Formally known as La Ruta del LechĂłn, the Pork Highway is specifically what it seems like: a three-mile stretch of roadway where every restaurant specializes in pork. One of the most popular sort of pork is lechĂłn, a special dish in Puerto Rico that entails spit-roasting an entire pig with a mix of sauces and also seasonings. Obtain your blood pumping with a journey to the Toro Verde Adventure Park in central Puerto Rico. It supplies ziplines, rope programs and rock climbing up obstacles that are guaranteed to make you pee your pants a little when you realize simply what you have actually gotten yourself right into! The park’s main attraction is “The Beast,” which is listed in the Guinness Book of Globe Records as the lengthiest zipline in the world. With cobbled roads, busy plazas as well as colorful houses that pile with each other like building blocks of yellow, blue, environment-friendly, orange and also blue-green, Old San Juan is just one of one of the most vivid locations to visit in Puerto Rico. This is why locations like Isla Culebrita exist. Isla Culebrita is an unoccupied island off the shore of eastern Puerto Rico. It’s just about a mile long, and also access is restricted to ferryboats and water taxis. Museo de Las Americas There are numerous museums in Puerto Rico, yet just a handful are actually regarding Puerto Rico. The Museo de Las Americas is among these valuable places. It has artifacts, symbols and fabrics from loads of aboriginal teams that lived in Latin America prior to it was conquered, as well as it can take you on a multi-continental journey with history. If you like to eat, Mayaguez is the city for you. It’s house to everything from fine eating facilities to outdoor coffee shops with huge, vibrant umbrellas, so you’ll have plenty of choices when your tummy starts grumbling. El Yunque National Forestis Covering more than 28,000 acres, the El Yunque National Park is a lush, moist rainforest where thick vegetation covers everything from slinking snakes to croaking tree frogs. It’s the only exotic rain forest in Puerto Rico, and site visitors come from all over the Carribean to witness both its beauty as well as biodiversity. Situated in the city of Cabo Rojo on the most southern idea of Puerto Rico, the Los Morrillos Lighthouse is just one of those beautiful locations that you can just find in the Caribbean. It’s perched in addition to white limestone high cliffs that are bordered by salt marshes as well as shallows, as well as the waves crash versus the high cliffs with a violence that’s surprising but beautiful. Cayo Santiago is a tiny stretch of land off the eastern shore of Puerto Rico.

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