Spreads Down to 195 Points, Piazza Affari Earns 1.6%, on Bank Dtocks

After the stop to the possible M5S-Lega government, the tension on the markets decreases. The Treasury today must place 3 billion Btp linked to inflation in the euro area. Single currency rising.

Apertura in netto rialzo per la Borsa di Milano dopo lo stop al governo Lega-Movimento 5 Stelle e in vista dell’incontro tra Carlo Cottarelli e Sergio Mattarella questa mattina al Quirinale. Mentre lo spread perde slancio: apre a 190 anche se poi risale a 195. Venerdì aveva chiuso a 2014 dopo aver toccato i 217 punti. Il primo Ftse Mib ha segnato un rialzo dell’1,16% a quota 22.662 punti; All Share +1,33%. Dopo la prima mezzora di contrattazione il guadagno del Ftse Mib sfiora el 2% per ripiegare poi all’1,6%. In moderato rialzo anche le altre Borse europee. In Piazza Affari strappano soprattutto le banche: l’indice del settore guadagna il 3,17%. Maglia rosa è Banco Bpm (+4,17%), seguita da Unicredit (+3,3%), Ubi (+2,29%) , Intesa (2,29%) e Mediobanca (+2,16%). Un’effervescenza che si spiega anche con il fatto che il 70% circa del debito pubblico italiano, il vero protagonista di tutta questa vicenda politica, è nelle mani di investitori nazionali, banche comprese. E c’è attenzione anche sul fronte dell’obbligazionario: il Tesoro emette Ctz e Btp indicizzati all’inflazione dell’area euro per 3 miliardi.

In the last few days Moody’s announced the start of a procedure for a possible downgrade of the vote on the debt of our country. After the resignation of the premier in charge of the Conte and the failure of all the mediation attempts for an M5-Lega government that does not find itself clashing with the no. By Sergio Mattarella, the rating agency’s forecasts seem to be less gloomy for our country. The immediate reaction of the markets, explains Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody’s Analytics, could be negative, but “investors could quickly decide that this is a positive fact, because the most extreme instincts of the new government have been blocked, for now” .

Last week Piazza Affari lost ground as always when the spread rises the difference in yield between our long-term government bonds and the German ones, which is a sort of “fear thermometer” and therefore a measure of the reliability assigned from the markets to our country. On Friday, the thermometer hit 217 points, then folded back. Meanwhile, the euro returned to above 1.17 dollars after having touched the November lows against the US currency on Friday. Friday night the exchange rate was 1,1667.

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