Kandilli Rasathanesinden Ürküten Uyarı: İstanbul’da 7’nin Üzerinde Deprem…

Kandilli Rasathanesi Müdürü Prof. Dr. Haluk Özener, “Marmara Denizi’nde olacak ve İstanbul’u etkileyecek bir deprem beklentisi şüphe götürmez bir gerçek. Ancak zamanını verme şansımız yok.” dedi.

Özener, Marmara Denizi’nde olacak ve İstanbul’u etkileyecek bir deprem beklentisinin şüphe götürmez bir gerçek olduğunu belirterek, “Bunun zamanını verme şansımız yok.” dedi.


Özener, “Depremlerin öncü veya artçı olduğu yönünde bir bilgi var mı?” sorusu üzerine, “Bunu maalesef bilemiyoruz, öncü olup olmadığını. Ancak büyük bir deprem gerçekleştikten sonra, ‘bu öncüydü’ diyebiliyoruz.” dedi.


“Daha önce 5 büyüklüğündeki depremlerin 7 şiddetindeki bir depremin enerjisini azalttığını söylemiştiniz. Bunların bölgedeki ve hatta İstanbul’daki bir depremin etkisini azalttığını söyleyebilir miyiz?” sorusu yöneltilen Özener, şunları söyledi:

“(İkisi birbirinden bağımsız) demiştik. Yani Çanakkale’de olan depremlerle Marmara’da beklediğiniz depremin birbiri ile alakası olmadığını söylemiştik. İstanbul özelinde, özellikle söylemiştik.

Prof. Dr. Özener, Çanakkale’deki depremlerin İstanbul depremini tetiklemesinin söz konusu olup olmayacağı sorusuna da şöyle cevap verdi:

“Yok, hayır. Daha önce de söylediğim gibi birbirinden bağımsız faylar ve yerlerden bahsediyoruz. İstanbul’u bekleyen, Marmara Denizi’nde olacak ve İstanbul’u etkileyecek bir deprem beklentisi, şüphe götürmez bir gerçek. Bunun zamanını verme şansımız yok. Bunun için bir süre vermek çok anlamlı değil. Bilimsel olarak anlamlı değil. Çünkü şunu biliyoruz; Marmara’dan geçen bir fay hattı var, bu fay hattı, tarih boyunca sürekli depremler üretmiş ve bu deprem enerjisi birikiyor sürekli ve bir yerde tekrarlayacak bu. Bunun ne zaman tekrarlayacağını, maalesef bilemiyoruz. Bütün beklenti İstanbul’u etkileyecek 7’nin üzerinde bir depremin olacağı yönünde ama kesinlikle ve kesinlikle zaman veremiyoruz.”



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