Hulya Karahan

Production Editor

hulyacar2001@yahoo.com

Some analysts said that when attending the G20, the discourse of Western countries prevailed, especially in the United States, and the style of meetings was relatively free. Leaders chatting casually outside the venue would make Xi Jinping feel uncomfortable. For example, the unexpected incident that occurred at the last G20, when a person unexpectedly appeared Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau stopped him and asked why China interfered in Canada’s election, and immediately reported it to the media. This made Xi, who was accustomed to internal work and rarely went abroad for several years.

Some analysts believe that Xi Jinping did not attend the G20 summit hosted by India because he deliberately snubbed India and did not want to add glory to “Indian time”. But those who disagree with this view believe that China and India have always maintained superficial relations, but China published a “spiritual map” before the G20 summit, and the land area suddenly expanded to tens of millions of square kilometers, including the disputed southern Tibet. Naturally, it was included, and India was very angry. The very powerful Prime Minister Modi would not give Xi Jinping a good look. Xi Jinping also does not want to go to New Delhi to receive the gift.

Other views attribute it to Xi’s personal character, believing that he regards Mao Zedong as his spiritual leader and imitates him everywhere. Sometimes you get the Dharma, sometimes you don’t. During Mao’s rule, except for the period when he was on good terms with the Soviet Big Brother and had to go to Moscow for pilgrimage, after Stalin’s death and his falling out with Khrushchev who exposed Stalin’s crimes, Mao never went abroad again for the rest of his life.

Some analysts suspect that Xi’s mentality seems to be similar to that of Mao in his later years, and he longed for all nations to come to North Korea. This may partly explain why he is unwilling to attend the G20. It is certain that Xi does not want to meet Biden. No matter how many times Xi visits, the United States will not give up sanctions on the party-state… In the name of regime security, the Xi Party Central Committee calls on the entire people to arrest spies and search foreign companies. , cracking down on private enterprises, suppressing dissidents, forcing Taiwan to submit, etc. In this case, it is better not to go and no matter how much pressure Biden exerts, “I will remain unmoved.”

Since Xi Jinping began his third term in office, he has only left China twice. One was when he went to Moscow to meet Putin in March, and the other was recently when he went to South Africa to attend the BRICS summit. The G20 can be compared with the BRICS. Xi has enjoyed a dominant position in South Africa that is difficult to enjoy in the G20.

“Xi has a deep sense of insecurity”. He chooses to go to “friendly countries” when he travels abroad. He is also uneasy about the people around him. Even the people chosen by the Politburo are all cronies.

“Xi Jinping’s many misjudgments are well known. Major ones include his misjudgment of epidemic prevention and the misjudgment of the world pattern. His misjudgment of the epidemic prevention led to the imposition of social cleansing and unswerving measures, causing his own economy to collapse; the most significant misjudgment of the world pattern. Misjudgment means rising in the east and falling in the west, allowing wolf warriors to run rampant, triggering boycotts from the United States and the West.”

Since Beijing did not explain why Xi Jinping was absent from the G20 summit, various speculations have spread. Deutsche Welle Chinese website reported today that on this occasion, the Chinese government recently released the latest standard map for 2023 and triggered a sovereignty dispute. The China- Indian border dispute was therefore thought it might be an important factor.

China and India have been competing for more than a century, which has been described as a “dragon-elephant battle.” In recent years, with the dramatic changes in international geopolitics, the two countries have often been compared.

The New Delhi summit comes at a time when China’s economy is in decline and the “One Belt, One Road” initiative continues to be questioned as a “debt trap.” The White House stated last month that U.S. President Biden will propose cooperation with member states at the G20 summit to increase international cooperation. The amount of loans provided by financial organizations to developing and poor countries is expected to exceed US$200 billion, which is interpreted as the latest measure to counter China’s “One Belt, One Road” initiative.

In addition, the White House also stated earlier this week that the New Delhi summit will be an opportunity for the world’s major economies to come together to solve global problems. “At a time when the international economy is suffering from historic overlapping shocks, it is more important than ever before to Establish a working forum with the world’s largest economy”.

At the same time, reports analyzed that with the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war, the rising tensions in the Taiwan Strait, and the confrontation between the United States and China and other international political changes, India’s political and economic role in the region has also become the focus.

In an interview with Indian media last month, Modi talked about the G20 financial topic and said that some countries have created debt traps to seek improper benefits; this remark is believed to be a veiled criticism of China. In addition, before the summit, Modi proposed formally inviting the African Union to join the G20, basically continuing Biden’s call at the end of last year.

Modi also said that the global supply chain is shaken and India in the post-epidemic era is expected to be the solution to the dilemma. New Delhi is also working to strengthen manufacturing to compete with China.

Deutsche Welle quoted Zhuang Jiaying, associate professor of the Department of Political Science at the National University of Singapore, as analyzing that China and India have long been competing for the leading role in developing countries. India may use this summit to further emphasize its criticality in the Indo-Pacific and even the world.

Zhuang Jiaying explained, “China’s economic growth is slowing down, it has internal debt problems, and coupled with its population problem, this may be an opportunity for India, which it can fully exploit. Because its population not only exceeds China is relatively young compared to China, and has made considerable achievements in software development.”

Zhuang Jiaying further pointed out that India has recently been more active in encouraging other countries to invest in India. India may believe that “the G20 is an opportunity to give full play to its leadership in developing  countries.”