CHINA’S ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN, SHARES ROSE

The Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets have risen abnormally. Hong Kong stocks rose 690 points or 2.5% in February, and A-shares were even hotter. The market value soared 7 trillion yuan, the Shanghai Composite Index surged 13.79% this month, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 20.75%, and the GEM was 25% in the history of the most bullish gains. However, behind the warnings of experts, there is a risk of blasting.

The mainland’s manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 49.2 last month, the lowest since February 2016, which was worse than market expectations of 49.5. In addition, the negotiations failed and the two countries did not reach any agreement. Hong Kong stocks reversed downwards yesterday. The Hang Seng Index closed at 28,633 points, down 124 points or 0.4%. The three consecutive losses fell 326 points or 1.1%. The market’s share of shares fell by 55%, and the proportion of shares increased by 45%. In terms of A shares, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.44%; the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.29%. The turnover of the market has shrunk sharply for two consecutive days, the pressure on profit-taking has increased, and market volatility has increased.

Hang Seng Index rose 2.5% this month, Shanghai Composite Index rose 14%
However, in summary, the Hang Seng Index still rose 690 points or 2.5% in February; in 2019, it started to rise for two months, accumulating 2787 points or 10.8%.

The performance of the mainland stock market is even more unexpected. The Shanghai Composite Index surged 13.79% this month, Shenzhen Component Index rose 20.75%, and the GEM Index surged 25.06%, the largest monthly increase in history. A stock market value soared 7 trillion, the GEM 25% hit the most bullish month in history, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges went straight for more than 1 trillion for two consecutive days, refreshing the new high since November 2015.

Analysts believe that investors tend to be cautious, coupled with the approach of the “two sessions” and whether the Sino-US trade agreement is still unclear, it is expected that the short-term market will be volatile.

A-share expansion is revealed today, the market is careful about the risk of bulk cargo
In addition, the international index company MSCI Ming Hao will announce the weight of the expansion of the A-shares in the early morning of today (March 1). According to the recommendations of MSCI last September, it plans to increase the factor of A-shares from the current 5% to 20%, step by step. If it is successfully expanded, A shares are expected to attract an additional $60.5 billion (approximately HK$475 billion) inflows in May and August this year.

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