“Fed Haziran’da Faiz Artırmaktan Kaçınabilir”

hhhhDoubleLine Capital CEO’su Jeffrey Gundlach, Cuma günü Janet Yellen’den güvercin bir konuşma beklediğini söyledi. Gundlach Los Angeles’teki konuşmasında vadeli piyasalardaki traderlerin faiz artırımı olasılığını yüzde 50’nin üzerine çıkarmaması durumunda Fed’in Haziran’da faiz artırmaktan kaçınacağını söyledi. Vadeli işlemler şimdilik yüzde 28 olasılığa işaret ediyor. Bu haftaki ABD devlet tahvili ihalelerinde talep artarken, faizlerin artırılması tehditinin yatırımcıları caydırmadığını göstermişti.

Yellen Harvard Üniversitesi’nde yerel saat ile 13:15’teki konuşmasında Nisan’da yaptığı Fed’in faiz artırımında ihtiyatlı olması gerektiğine dair görüşünü yineleyebilir veya diğer Fed yetkililerinin faiz artırımı lehine konuşmalarını destekleyebilir. Tokyo’da 158 milyar dolar yöneten tahvil yatırımcısı Diam Co.’dan Hajime Nagata, “Faizleri artıracaklarsa dahi, kademeli davranacaklar. Yurtdışı talep güçlü olacaktır.” dedi.

ABD devlet tahvilleri Cuma günü işlemlerinde yatay seyrederken, gösterge 10 yıl vadeli tahvil getirisi TSİ 10:57’de Bloomberg Bond Trader verisine göre yüzde 1.83’ten işlem gördü. Bloomberg Dünya Tahvil Endeksleri verisine göre, 10 yıllık gösterge tahvilin 2016’daki getirisi yüzde 3.1’e ulaşırken tahvil bu ay yatay seyrediyor.

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