Germany’s Political Crisis

The CSU has suffered significant losses in the state election in Bavaria and received after the provisional final score 37.2 percent of the vote. The Greens came with 17.5 percent of the vote in second place in front of the Free Voters with 11.6 percent and the AfD with 10.2 percent.

display

The SPD plunged straightyu miserably to 9.7 percent – their worst result in a state election ever after 9.8 percent in 2004 in Saxony. The FDP came to 5.1 percent of the vote and thus managed just about to return to the Bavarian state parliament.

The left failed with 3.2 percent at the five-percent hurdle. Voter turnout rose from 63.5 percent in the 2013 state election to 72.4 percent.

The SPD with losses of 10.9 percentage points and the CSU with losses of 10.4 percentage points are the big losers in the state elections. The AfD was able to fetch 10.2 percent straight away, the Greens were able to improve their result significantly compared to 2013 by 8.9 percentage points.

The election results give Bavaria’s Prime Minister Markus Söder (CSU) the perspective to form a bourgeois coalition he favors with the Free Voters. CSU and Free Voters come together according to the preliminary election results together to 112 seats and would have so with expected 205 seats in the next state parliament a clear majority.

With an even clearer majority, CSU and Greens could govern together, even an alliance with the SPD would have a majority of seats. A computationally possible coalition with the AfD has excluded the CSU.

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